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2024 Election Straw Poll Results

METHODOLOGY – The TBYR sent unique email surveys to 556 Respondents. All respondents are Tampa Bay Young Republican members, 18-40 years old, Registered Republicans in the State of Florida, considered “Republican Primary Voters”, and living in the Tampa Bay region. Results were calculated through a secure online survey, only accessible through member’s emails. (via www.Surveymonkey.com). Respondents were prompted to provide their political philosophy, confidence in this election, and the biggest issues facing the country before providing their preference for each competitive primary in the region.

Potential Bias – Results skew based on TBYR members’ positive bias for Republican candidates who are members of the organization or interact with the organization personally. However, all candidates listed have been invited on several occasions over many years to meet members and attend events. Candidate write-ups are opinions of the authors of the study and do not reflect official positions.***
For Press, comments, questions please email President@tbyr.com

Click This Link For Early Voting Website With Locations:

https://www.wusf.org/politics-issues/2024-10-18/early-voting-tampa-bay-area-where-to-cast-ballots-2024

Question 1: As things stand today (7/31/2024), ignoring who you WANT to win, which party do you THINK will win the Presidential election in 2024?

Republicans: 84.55%

Democrats: 15.45%


Question 2: What is the biggest issue facing the country & Floridians today? Rank from most important to least.


Question 3: Which of these options most closely describes your political philosophy?

MAGA: 37.40%

Traditional/Fiscal Conservative: 23.58%

Libertarian: 17.07%

Religious Conservative: 15.45%

Moderate: 6.50%


Question 4: Do you believe the Democrats will try to “steal” the election in 2024?

YES: 90.24%

NO: 9.76%

Question 8: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough State Attorney?

Suzy Lopez (R) (Incumbent): 100%

Andrew Warren (D) 0%

Elizabeth Martinez Strauss (D) 0%

TBYR Board Opinion: The most consequential race in Hillsborough County this cycle is for State Attorney. Will we return to Andrew Warren, a George Soros funded prosecutor removed by DeSantis, or will we be a County of law and order under Suzy Lopez? While the media would like to focus on how she arrived at the position, it is irrelevant now. Suzy Lopez is an excellent State Attorney that has stepped into a position with a ton of pressure and handled it with poise and grace. Andrew Warren could not muster a single vote from the 556 surveys we sent out for a reason.

Question 10: Which Candide do you prefer for State House D67? (New Tampa

Rico Smith (R): 95.12

Fentrice Driskell (D) (Incumbent): 1.63%

TBYR Board Opinion: Fentrice Driskell is the current sitting Minority Leader in the FL State House. She is a dishonest, virtue signaling mouthpiece for the liberal agenda in Florida. Our best chance to unseat her is with Rico Smith, an air force veteran and young Republican candidate.

Question 11: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough Clerk of Courts?

Victor Crist (R): 95.12%

Cindy Stuart (D) (Incumbent): 0%

TBYR Board Opinion: While serving in the FL Senate, Victor Crist spearheaded innovative reforms, crafted budgets, and served on numerous committees, councils, and commissions dealing with Florida’s Courts, Clerks, and Justice matters. He chaired the Joint Committee/Task Force responsible for developing the plan and legislation to implement the revision of the Florida Constitution that required the transition of all local Courts and Clerks to a unified, state-funded system. He is significantly more qualified than his primary opponent and the current incumbent to fill this overlooked role leading to him dominating our member poll by 95%.

Question 12: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough Property Appraiser?

John Ballance (R): 97.56%

Bob Henriquez (D) (Incumbent): 2.44%

TBYR Board Opinion: Only 2% of  young Republicans want to see Bob Henriquez return as our property appraiser. We need a Republican in the office.

Question 13: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough County Commission D2?

Ken Hagan (R): 83.74%

Patricia Altagracia Alonzo (D): 0%

TBYR Board Opinion: Ken Hagan has been a stalwart member of our County Commission for a long time. His primary challenger as well as his general opponent have no business bothering to run against a solid public servant. Hagan by 80%

Question 14: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough County Commission D4?

Christine Miller (R): 95.93%

Jonathan T. Chavez (D) 0.81%

Nicole Payne (D): 0%

Matthew Taylor (NPA) 0%

TBYR Board Opinion: Governor DeSantis made the right call appointing Christine Miller to the County Commission in District 4. She is an excellent leader that will do great things on the Commission. We’re not sure why any other candidates are bothering to challenge her in this race and aren’t to be taken seriously.

Question 15: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough County Commission D6?

Chris Boles (R): 99.2%

Sean Shaw (D): 0.81%

Question 19: Which Candidate do you prefer for Hillsborough School Board D7?

Karen Bendorf (R): 100%

Lynn Gray (D) (Incumbent): 0%

TBYR Board Opinion: Karen Bendorf is the clear choice in this race. We need to remove Lynn Gray from the school board.

Question 23: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 1? (Changes School Board races from non-partisan to partisan on ballots) Read full amendments here (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

Yes: 86.99%

No: 13.01%

TBYR Board Opinion: As we mentioned before, the School Board has never truly been a non-partisan position. One of the main reasons people rely on groups like ours every two years is for telling the public who the Republican is for these unlabeled races. Finally, we can end the confusion, and let people know on the ballot which candidates are being backed by which party.

TBYR overwhelmingly supports voting Yes on this Amendment.

Question 24: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 2? (Establishes State Constitutional right to hunt and fish) Read full amendments here (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

Yes: 98.37%

No: 1.63%

TBYR Board Opinion: We probably don’t need to put our thumb on this one, we expect it to pass overwhelmingly, but there are States that have tried to put restrictions on fishing and hunting. Amendment 2 enshrines it in our State constitution just in case, God Forbid, we have a liberal Governor that tries to infringe on it. TBYR Recommends voting Yes on Amendment 2.

Question 25: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 3? (Legalizes Recreational Marijuana, not requiring medical licenses) Read full amendments here (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

Yes: 61.79%

No: 38.21%

TBYR Board Opinion: We wouldn’t be  the “Not Your Grandfarthers’ GOP” club if we didn’t break with the GOP’s official stance on at least one issue. The argument against recreational marijuana in Florida is not what it is being made out to be by our beloved Governor. The current landscape is not that of the 1960’s. We currently have legalized and unregulated marijuana in every one of the 10,000+  smoke shops across the State as well as over 1 million medical marijuana patients. It’s here and it’s not going anywhere. Despite what they say at the moment, the Florida legislature can interpret this amendment if it passes, where they will most likely put heavy restrictions on public use similar to tobacco. You can still get a DUI and you won’t be able to bring 20 joints to school. TBYR recommends you vote ‘Yes’ on Amendment 3.

Question 26: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 4? (Constitutional Right To An Abortion. Amendment states “before fetal viability”.) (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

No: 78.05%

Yes: 21.95%

TBYR Board Opinion: This is one issue that seems to cross all generations of Republicans. Our polling shows that 78% of our members support keeping the abortion law at 6 weeks and preventing this radical amendment from being put in the State Constitution. TBYR recommends voting No on Amendment 4.

Question 27: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 5? (Provides for an annual inflation adjustment for the value of the homestead property tax exemption) Read full amendments here (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

Yes: 95.12%

No: 4.88%

TBYR Board Opinion: Bidenflation has been horrific and we like tax breaks. That’s why 95% of our members support adjusting homestead exemptions to yearly inflation. TBYR recommends voting Yes on Amendment 5.

Question 28: Where do you stand on FL Ballot Amendment 6? (Repeal a constitutional provision providing for public campaign financing for candidates who agree to spending limits) Read full amendments here (https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_2024_ballot_measures)

Yes: 91.87%

No: 8.13%

TBYR Board Opinion: In 2022, 100’s of millions of dollars were spent on the FL Governor’s race. They don’t need public funds for any of it. TBYR Recommends voting Yes on Amendment 6.

For any questions or comments please email President@tbyr.com

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